:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 10 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026 is 2.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
00-03UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
03-06UT 2.67 1.67 2.00
06-09UT 2.67 1.67 1.67
09-12UT 1.67 1.00 1.33
12-15UT 1.67 1.33 0.67
15-18UT 0.67 1.33 1.00
18-21UT 1.67 1.00 1.67
21-00UT 2.00 1.67 1.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected over
10-12 Feb.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
S1 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: There is a chance for S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation
storms on 10-12 Feb due to the flare potential and location of Region
4366.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Feb 09 2026 0227 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 10-Feb 12 2026

Feb 10 Feb 11 Feb 12
R1-R2 65% 65% 65%
R3 or greater 25% 25% 25%

Rationale: R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts are likely, with a
chance for R3 (Strong) or greater events, on 10-12 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 13 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026 is 5.00 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
00-03UT 1.67 3.00 3.67
03-06UT 1.33 2.67 2.67
06-09UT 1.33 2.00 2.67
09-12UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
12-15UT 1.33 2.00 2.33
15-18UT 1.33 2.67 2.33
18-21UT 1.67 2.67 4.67 (G1)
21-00UT 1.67 3.00 5.00 (G1)

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 15 Feb due to
combined potential from a recurrent coronal hole and a passing coronal
mass ejection.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

Radio blackouts reaching the R1 levels were observed over the past 24
hours. The largest was at Feb 12 2026 0240 UTC.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 13-Feb 15 2026

Feb 13 Feb 14 Feb 15
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor) radio
blackouts over 13-15 Feb due to the flare potential of multiple active
regions on the Suns visible disk.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 16 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
00-03UT 4.67 (G1) 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 4.33 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 3.67 2.67 2.67
09-12UT 3.33 2.67 2.00
12-15UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 1.67 0.67
18-21UT 2.67 1.67 2.33
21-00UT 3.33 2.67 3.00

Rationale: Isolated periods of G1 (Minor-Moderate) geomagnetic storming
are likely on 16 Feb due to positive polarity CH HSS influences with
potential weak CME enhancements as a CME from 13 Feb might pass in close proximity.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 16-Feb 18 2026

Feb 16 Feb 17 Feb 18
R1-R2 5% 5% 5%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected. No significant active region flare activity is forecast.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 19 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
00-03UT 3.33 3.00 2.33
03-06UT 3.67 3.00 1.67
06-09UT 2.00 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 2.33 1.33 0.67
12-15UT 2.33 1.33 1.00
15-18UT 2.00 1.67 0.67
18-21UT 3.00 2.00 1.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 19-Feb 21 2026

Feb 19 Feb 20 Feb 21
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with a slight
chance for M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flares through 21 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 22 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026 is 4.67 (NOAA Scale
G1).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
00-03UT 2.67 3.67 3.67
03-06UT 3.67 4.67 (G1) 3.67
06-09UT 2.67 3.67 2.67
09-12UT 1.67 3.67 2.67
12-15UT 2.67 2.67 2.00
15-18UT 2.67 2.67 1.67
18-21UT 3.67 2.67 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 3.67 2.67

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are likely on 23 Feb due to
effects from an anticipated coronal hole HSS.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 22-Feb 24 2026

Feb 22 Feb 23 Feb 24
R1-R2 5% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There exists a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts over 23-24 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 25 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
00-03UT 3.67 3.00 2.67
03-06UT 3.67 3.67 2.67
06-09UT 3.33 2.67 2.33
09-12UT 3.00 2.33 2.33
12-15UT 3.00 2.00 2.00
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 2.00
18-21UT 2.67 2.33 2.33
21-00UT 3.67 3.00 2.67

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected. No significant transient or recurrent solar wind features are forecast.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 25-Feb 27 2026

Feb 25 Feb 26 Feb 27
R1-R2 10% 10% 10%
R3 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: There is a slight chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts through 27 Feb.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Feb 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 3 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026 is 4.33 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
00-03UT 3.00 3.33 3.33
03-06UT 2.67 4.33 3.67
06-09UT 1.67 4.00 3.00
09-12UT 1.67 3.00 2.67
12-15UT 1.33 2.67 3.00
15-18UT 1.00 2.67 3.00
18-21UT 2.67 3.00 3.33
21-00UT 3.33 3.00 3.00

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Feb 28-Mar 02 2026

Feb 28 Mar 01 Mar 02
R1-R2 25% 25% 25%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There exists a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio
blackouts over 28 Feb - 02 Mar.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2026 Mar 03 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 2 (below NOAA
Scale levels).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026 is 3.67 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
00-03UT 2.00 3.67 2.67
03-06UT 1.67 3.33 2.67
06-09UT 2.33 2.33 1.33
09-12UT 1.33 2.00 1.67
12-15UT 2.00 1.33 1.33
15-18UT 2.33 2.00 1.67
18-21UT 3.33 2.00 1.67
21-00UT 3.67 2.00 1.33

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected
through 05 Mar.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-18 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
S1 or greater 1% 1% 1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.


C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Mar 03-Mar 05 2026

Mar 03 Mar 04 Mar 05
R1-R2 30% 30% 30%
R3 or greater 5% 5% 5%

Rationale: There is a chance for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts,
with a slight chance for R3 (Strong) events, through 05 Mar.


--- MBSE BBS v1.1.7 (Linux-x86_64)
* Origin: Outpost BBS * Johnson City, TN (1:18/200)