ACUS11 KWNS 271856
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271855=20
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-272030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0572
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0155 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

Areas affected...southeast Kansas into west-central and southwest
Missouri

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon=20

Valid 271855Z - 272030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...Storms developing near the Missouri-Kansas border are
expected to intensify with the primary hazard being large to very
large hail. A couple of tornadoes and/or locally damaging wind gusts
are also possible. A local extension of the existing Tornado Watch
and/or new watch will be required.

DISCUSSION...Isolated storms are currently developing along a cold
front near the KS-MO within a moderately unstable air mass with
MLCAPE of 2500 J/kg, per 18z SGF sounding. Low-level wind fields are
gradually veering, which is limiting low-level shear magnitudes.
Nonetheless, the presence of strong deep-layer shear will support
intense supercells with large to very large hail as the primary
hazard. However, a couple of tornadoes are possible.

..Mead/Guyer.. 04/27/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_bErsBM4Xqh5x4aLFNwCJclO8-jgAjnU75VgsYKajeoNODUy7yuT83-RmWAR5Uy-MM656i_cs= IRXjzSjQvyO7gAxmwA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON 37329570 38339526 38879410 38649361 37779369 36269369
36289481 36239516 37329570=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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